Welcome to the Rational Fringe
We have been providing independent research to investment strategists, portfolio managers and resource companies for more than thirty years. Our original research caught the 1981 transition from inflation in tangible assets to inflation in financial assets. A thorough history of financial markets would lead to no other conclusion.
Reliable analysis in the credit markets underlies our longer-term policy changes. Whether to the expansions or contractions. On the latter, our work in January 2000 suggested that the mania could turn with the credit markets at around March of that fateful year.
Using a similar count on the Treasury curve, credit markets were likely to reverse sometime around May 2007. The curve reversed in that month, as did spreads in June. In that fateful month, our presentation included the image of a train disaster, with the caption that the “Greatest Train Wreck In The History Of Credit” had started.
In a world of increasing volatility, it has been essential to take a medium-term outlook and back it up with uniquely thorough technical analysis.
Our ChartWorks has developed proprietary “models” that stock and bond trading desks have used to supplement their in-house skills.
A single model measures the extremes at distressed bottoms as well as at speculative highs. The latter condition is called an “Upside Exhaustion” and the opposite opportunity is called a “Downside Capitulation”. The latter helps to defer attempts to catch falling knives. The ChartWorks has been essential in identifying important stock market extremes.
We cover equities, credit markets, currencies and commodities. For investment strategists and trading desks.
Investment markets are always adjudicating research techniques and trading skills. The challenges will always be there and we expect to continue to anticipate opportunities.
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- “The research team at Institutional Advisors is without peer.” Senior Director—Investments, big firm in Stamford, Connecticut, December, 2016.
- “Your ‘Draining The Swamp’ One of the best explanations I’ve read re what’s going on.” Long term subscriber, November 23, on the US election.
- “Institutional Advisors has one of the finest and most accurate subscription services on the web.” Robert Moriarty, 321 Gold, 2016.
- "Central Planning And Big Government: Kaput" Your treatise is simply outstanding.”, 2017. D.P. Portfolio Manager.
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